Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 11.957849 13.731187 15.627606 17.800912 20.216837 22.814194 25.811816
2025-09-28 9.406451 11.776905 14.488487 17.798134 21.705728 26.148879 31.558155
2025-10-05 8.074680 10.792808 14.062251 18.240217 23.389075 29.476568 37.163148
2025-10-12 7.060796 9.985217 13.656679 18.532057 24.755928 32.350380 42.222890
2025-10-19 6.198387 9.230062 13.186722 18.623800 25.782897 34.760685 46.725821
2025-10-26 5.299082 8.302502 12.373409 18.154502 25.993064 36.077727 49.831652
2025-11-02 4.599282 7.561889 11.722650 17.813942 26.297333 37.466837 53.017903
2025-11-09 4.002253 6.896707 11.103543 17.443437 26.498471 38.680072 55.966393
2025-11-16 3.507782 6.326911 10.561809 17.122318 26.717110 39.886092 58.905056
2025-11-23 3.033210 5.732319 9.924850 16.601295 26.597272 40.589056 61.144921
2025-11-30 2.763529 5.439785 9.718889 16.695757 27.350886 42.513221 65.108547
2025-12-07 2.515765 5.155728 9.498412 16.742882 28.019936 44.321839 68.946115
2025-12-14 2.316335 4.938314 9.372201 16.933555 28.920190 46.508044 73.415108
2025-12-21 2.101169 4.668139 9.134889 16.926126 29.507713 48.248055 77.286477
2025-12-28 1.981895 4.563024 9.165981 17.350280 30.774278 51.022666 82.733177
2026-01-04 1.850504 4.419266 9.116050 17.630375 31.815470 53.481678 87.771893
2026-01-11 1.703067 4.226317 8.961464 17.718433 32.542904 55.476279 92.161244
2026-01-18 1.497354 3.888195 8.513636 17.268020 32.363066 56.057654 94.422520
2026-01-25 1.330076 3.609868 8.152110 16.941218 32.362278 56.902542 97.089857
2026-02-01 1.177570 3.343645 7.789796 16.585733 32.288118 57.616391 99.558784
2026-02-08 1.046503 3.108303 7.466689 16.277677 32.272824 58.411508 102.160221
2026-02-15 0.910850 2.842149 7.056957 15.777940 31.894651 58.597120 103.793924
2026-02-22 0.842832 2.733211 6.961816 15.868535 32.553368 60.486439 108.167362